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Bitcoin ETF Flows on September 9?
opinion
polymarket

Bitcoin ETF Flows on September 9?

Volume:
$8,046

68,000

 - Opinion

68,000 - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 10, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 6:02 PM EST

opinion

Opinion

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

68,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,938
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

76,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,529
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

78,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,035
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

72,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$710
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

70,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$688
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

74,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bitcoin ETF Flows on September 9?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

80,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

82,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

84,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

86,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

88,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This group forecasts whether the total net flow of Bitcoin ETFs on September 9, 2026, will be positive. A positive flow indicates more money entering Bitcoin ETFs than exiting, while a negative flow indicates the opposite. The resolution hinges on data from Farside Investors.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms utilize the same resolution source (Farside Investors) and the same criteria for determining positive, negative, and neutral outcomes.Primary resolution logic: Farside Investors (https://farside.co.uk/btc/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve to 'Positive' if total Bitcoin ETF flows > 0.
  • Resolve to 'Negative' if total Bitcoin ETF flows < 0.
  • Resolve to 50-50 if total Bitcoin ETF flows = 0.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Delay: If Farside Investors does not publish data for all ETF providers by 12 PM ET, 2 days after September 9, 2026, the market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
  • Source Failure: If Farside Investors permanently fails to publish data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after September 9, 2026, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Timing: Resolution will occur once Farside Investors publishes finalized daily ETF flow data, or 12 PM ET, 2 days after September 9, 2026, if data is incomplete or unavailable.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Bitcoin ETF flows on Wednesday, September 9, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/btc/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price on the specified side of the price specified in the title — for an "above" market, a "Close" higher than that price; for a "below" market, a "Close" lower than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a forward-looking assessment of probabilities that differs from current spot prices. Spot prices represent the immediate cost of Bitcoin, while this market attempts to gauge expectations about future ETF activity. Discrepancies can arise from factors not fully priced into the spot market, such as regulatory announcements or institutional investor sentiment. A significant difference between market odds and spot price expectations can signal potential trading opportunities or a reassessment of underlying assumptions regarding Bitcoin’s value.