TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 6:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Bitcoin ETF flows on Tuesday, June 2, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/btc/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, Bitcoin ETF Flows on June 2 is priced as a binary or multi-outcome contract where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to inflow or outflow scenarios. The current odds reflect the cumulative bets of all participants; as new information emerges—such as regulatory announcements, macroeconomic data, or shifts in institutional demand—traders adjust positions, moving the price. Liquidity and volume on the order book determine how quickly prices respond to new trades, and the spread between bid and ask reflects market uncertainty around the outcome.
Key catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, and macroeconomic sentiment shifts that influence institutional appetite for Bitcoin exposure. Regulatory developments—such as SEC guidance on crypto or ETF approvals—can dramatically alter inflow expectations. Bitcoin price movements themselves often correlate with ETF flows, as rising prices attract retail and institutional capital. Additionally, major geopolitical events, corporate earnings, or shifts in traditional market volatility can redirect capital flows into or away from Bitcoin ETFs. Monitor these signals to anticipate how prediction market odds may shift before June 2.