TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 6:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Bitcoin ETF flows on Friday, June 12, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/btc/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Bitcoin ETF flows on Friday, June 12, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/btc/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
Bitcoin ETF Flows on June 12 is priced on Polymarket using an automated market maker model where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the cumulative belief of all market participants, with prices moving as new trades occur. Polymarket's pricing mechanism ensures that as more capital flows into one side, the odds shift to balance supply and demand. Traders can enter or exit positions continuously until the market resolves on Jun 12, 2026, with the final price representing the market's last consensus on whether significant Bitcoin ETF inflows will materialize that day.
The Bitcoin ETF Flows on June 12 market resolves on Jun 12, 2026, marking the end of trading and the beginning of settlement. Resolution is determined by whether the specified Bitcoin ETF flow criteria are met on that date. Traders should review the market's official resolution rules and data sources before the end date to understand exactly which flows count and how they will be verified. Once resolved, winning positions are paid out and losing positions expire worthless, finalizing the outcome of all trades placed throughout the market's lifetime.
Bitcoin ETF flows on June 12 could be influenced by major macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy decisions, or Bitcoin price volatility in the weeks leading up to the date. Regulatory developments affecting cryptocurrency or ETF approvals may shift institutional appetite for Bitcoin exposure. Corporate earnings or geopolitical events could trigger broad market risk-on or risk-off sentiment, affecting capital allocation to digital assets. Additionally, Bitcoin's own price action, network developments, or major news stories about cryptocurrency adoption could sway both retail and institutional ETF demand. Traders should monitor financial media, regulatory filings, and on-chain metrics for signals that could alter the probability of significant flows on that specific date.