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406,019

Markets across

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Bitcoin above ___ on September 9?
polymarket
opinion

Will Bitcoin be above the price on September 9?

Volume:
$1,606,647

76,000

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 12:13 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

76,000

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$261,612
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

76,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

78,000

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$225,452
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

78,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

74,000

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$174,641
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

74,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

72,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$129,497
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

72,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$46,175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

70,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

68,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$32,540
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

68,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

82,000

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$245,249
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

82,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80,000

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$185,042
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

80,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

84,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$167,964
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

84,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

86,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$106,847
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

86,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

88,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,628
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

88,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks whether the price of Bitcoin will be above $74,000 on September 9th. Currently, the aggregated probability across Polymarket and Opinion is 100.0%. Resolution will be based on the 12:00 ET Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price on September 9th, as defined by the resolution rules. Keep a close watch on the price of Bitcoin leading up to September 9th to see if it sustains a value above the threshold by the resolution time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same source (Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles at 12:00 ET on September 9th) and resolution criterion (closing price above a specified threshold).Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the closing price of the BTC/USDT trading pair on Binance.
  • The 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 ET on September 9th is the definitive data point.
  • Markets resolve to 'Yes' if the closing price is strictly greater than the specified threshold; otherwise, they resolve to 'No'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Binance Outage: If Binance is unavailable at the resolution time, PredictionHero will attempt to source data from a reputable alternative exchange with high liquidity, prioritizing those with similar trading volume and order book depth. The alternative exchange will be disclosed in the resolution notes.
  • Candle Formation Issues: If the 1-minute candle does not form correctly (e.g., due to technical issues), PredictionHero will use the most recent valid 1-minute candle before 12:00 ET, and document the reason.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as the 12:00 ET Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closes on September 9th, 2024.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price on the specified side of the price specified in the title — for an "above" market, a "Close" higher than that price; for a "below" market, a "Close" lower than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective on future events, potentially offering insights beyond simple spot price expectations. While current spot prices reflect immediate supply and demand, this market incorporates a broader range of factors, including anticipated news, regulatory changes, and overall market sentiment. Discrepancies between prediction market probabilities and implied spot price expectations can present potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders. The volume of $1,229,298 in the last 24 hours demonstrates active engagement with these predictions.