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406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Science and Technology
Bitcoin above ___ on September 8?
opinion
polymarket

Will Bitcoin be above the price on September 8?

Volume:
$1,569,776

76,000

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 12:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

76,000

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$257,908
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

76,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

78,000

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$248,274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

78,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

74,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$169,768
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

74,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

72,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$159,227
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

72,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$37,180
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

70,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

68,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$23,048
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

68,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

82,000

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$244,274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

82,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80,000

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$196,322
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

80,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

84,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$147,956
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

84,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

88,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,783
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

88,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

86,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,036
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

86,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks whether the price of Bitcoin will be above $76,000 on September 8th. Currently, the aggregated probability across Opinion and Polymarket indicates a 100.0% chance of this outcome. Resolution will be based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing price at noon ET on September 8th. Traders should watch the price of Bitcoin leading up to September 8th, as the closing price at 12:00 ET will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets share identical resolution criteria based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at a specific time on a specific date.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the 'Close' price of the 12:00 ET Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle on September 8th.
  • Each market resolves independently based on its specified price threshold.
  • The price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Binance Outage: If Binance is unavailable at the specified resolution time, resolution will be delayed until Binance is restored. If data is permanently unavailable, the markets will be cancelled.
  • Candle Formation: The full 1-minute candle must form at 12:00 ET on September 8th for resolution to occur. Incomplete candles will not be considered.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the 12:00 ET Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle has fully formed on September 8th.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price on the specified side of the price specified in the title — for an "above" market, a "Close" higher than that price; for a "below" market, a "Close" lower than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective on future events, potentially offering a different outlook than traditional spot price expectations. Spot prices are influenced by immediate supply and demand, while this market incorporates a broader range of factors, including anticipated news, regulatory changes, and macroeconomic trends. The implied probability derived from the odds here can be compared to forecasts from financial analysts and models to assess differing viewpoints on the future price of Bitcoin. This comparison can reveal valuable insights into market sentiment.