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Bitcoin above ___ on September 6?
polymarket

Bitcoin above ___ on September 6?

Volume:
$1,123,906

78,000

 - Polymarket

78,000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 12:16 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

78,000

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$194,089
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

76,000

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$124,944
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

70,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$83,356
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

74,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$76,605
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

72,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$64,964
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

68,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$47,553
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

82,000

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$198,475
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

84,000

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$129,755
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80,000

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$126,511
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

86,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,957
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

88,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,697
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the price of Bitcoin will be above $76,000 on September 6th. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to that outcome. Resolution will be based on the 12:00 PM ET Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price on September 6th, as reported at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT. Keep a close watch on Bitcoin’s price action leading up to September 6th, 2026, as the final Binance BTC/USDT price at noon ET on that date will determine the market’s outcome.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the latest odds and price history for the Bitcoin price market, along with real-time 24-hour volume of $687,712. It shows how traders on Polymarket are positioning around Bitcoin’s performance, offering a live snapshot of market sentiment and liquidity without mixing in data from other venues.

Currently, this market reflects a strong bias toward Bitcoin finishing above the target level, with traders pricing in a high probability based on recent momentum and macro signals. That outlook can diverge from short-term spot price swings, as prediction markets incorporate anticipated moves over the coming weeks. Analysts watching key support zones and macro news will influence both this market and spot expectations.

On Polymarket, this market uses a decentralized betting pool where traders buy 'yes' or 'no' shares. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current probability reflects the ratio of 'yes' to 'no' shares, adjusted for liquidity and trader activity. High trading volume can shift the odds quickly, especially as we near Sep 6, 2026. Traders assess Bitcoin's technical indicators, macroeconomic factors, and upcoming events to determine their positions. The market price captures collective trader sentiment on whether the Bitcoin price market will exceed the threshold by the resolution date.

This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price check happens at a specific time that day, and the market settles based on whether Bitcoin’s closing value meets the condition — no additional analysis or interpretation is needed.

Several factors could impact this market before Sep 6, 2026. Major economic announcements, including interest rate decisions or inflation data, often influence cryptocurrency prices. Regulatory developments affecting Bitcoin could cause rapid shifts in trader sentiment. Technological upgrades or security incidents within the Bitcoin network may also sway expectations. Additionally, geopolitical tensions or broad market volatility in risk assets can create waves of buying or selling. As we approach the resolution date, short-term trading patterns and large trades on Polymarket will likely amplify price movements in the Bitcoin price market.