TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 6:03 PM EST
Opinion
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price on the specified side of the price specified in the title — for an "above" market, a "Close" higher than that price; for a "below" market, a "Close" lower than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price on the specified side of the price specified in the title — for an "above" market, a "Close" higher than that price; for a "below" market, a "Close" lower than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Prediction market odds on Opinion reflect a collective trader view that can diverge from current spot price expectations. While spot prices show Bitcoin’s immediate value, this market incorporates expectations for future movement, potentially offering early signals of broader market sentiment or upcoming catalysts that analysts may not yet reflect in short-term pricing.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch closely as Bitcoin’s price on that date determines whether the condition is met, closing the market based on widely accepted data sources.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 5, 2026. Major economic announcements, including interest rate decisions or inflation data, often impact Bitcoin's valuation. Regulatory news—new guidelines or enforcement actions—can also cause rapid shifts in trader sentiment. Technological developments like significant upgrades or security incidents on major blockchain networks may influence expectations. Finally, macroeconomic trends, including geopolitical tensions or global market volatility, frequently affect this market as traders adjust their positions based on evolving risk perceptions.