TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Crypto
Bitcoin above … on September 5?
opinion

Bitcoin above … on September 5?

Volume:
$0

68,000

 - Opinion

68,000 - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 6:03 PM EST

opinion

Opinion

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

68,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

70,000

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

72,000

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

74,000

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

76,000

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

78,000

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

80,000

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

82,000

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

84,000

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

86,000

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

88,000

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price on the specified side of the price specified in the title — for an "above" market, a "Close" higher than that price; for a "below" market, a "Close" lower than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price on the specified side of the price specified in the title — for an "above" market, a "Close" higher than that price; for a "below" market, a "Close" lower than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, this dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $0 for the Bitcoin price market. It shows how traders on Opinion are positioning around the likelihood of Bitcoin trading above a certain level by a set date. The page updates continuously to reflect the latest market sentiment and trading activity specific to this event on Opinion.

Prediction market odds on Opinion reflect a collective trader view that can diverge from current spot price expectations. While spot prices show Bitcoin’s immediate value, this market incorporates expectations for future movement, potentially offering early signals of broader market sentiment or upcoming catalysts that analysts may not yet reflect in short-term pricing.

This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch closely as Bitcoin’s price on that date determines whether the condition is met, closing the market based on widely accepted data sources.

Several signals could shift this market before Sep 5, 2026. Major economic announcements, including interest rate decisions or inflation data, often impact Bitcoin's valuation. Regulatory news—new guidelines or enforcement actions—can also cause rapid shifts in trader sentiment. Technological developments like significant upgrades or security incidents on major blockchain networks may influence expectations. Finally, macroeconomic trends, including geopolitical tensions or global market volatility, frequently affect this market as traders adjust their positions based on evolving risk perceptions.