TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Bitcoin above ___ on September 5?
polymarket

Bitcoin above ___ on September 5?

Volume:
$1,521,390

76,000

 - Polymarket

76,000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 1:48 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

76,000

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$257,085
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

78,000

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$200,065
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

70,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$166,190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

68,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$132,582
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

74,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$131,041
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

72,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$79,649
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

80,000

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$187,947
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

82,000

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$180,613
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

84,000

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95,522
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

86,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60,378
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

88,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,316
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the price of Bitcoin will be above $76,000 on September 5th. Currently, the Polymarket market assigns a 100.0% probability to that outcome. Resolution will be based on the 12:00 PM ET Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price, as reported directly from Binance at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT. Keep a close watch on price action leading up to September 5th, 2026, as the final Binance BTC/USDT price at noon ET on that date will determine the market’s outcome.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $753,803 for the Bitcoin price market. It shows how traders on the platform are positioning themselves ahead of the key date. The interface updates in real time, letting users see shifts in sentiment and liquidity as the event approaches.

The odds in this market reflect trader sentiment about where Bitcoin will trade on the target date, often diverging from short-term spot price expectations. While spot markets may fluctuate daily, this market consolidates longer-term views into a single probability. Analysts and polls can show different expectations, but this market offers a direct, community-driven forecast.

This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price check happens at the exact timestamp, and the market settles based on whether Bitcoin is above the specified level at that moment, according to Polymarket's standard verification process.