TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market on Polymarket tracks whether Bitcoin will trade above $66,000 at noon ET on May 31, 2026, based on the Binance BTC/USDT closing price. The leading outcome currently stands at 100.0%, while a secondary outcome asking if Bitcoin will exceed $74,000 on the same date holds 0.1% probability. Resolution will be determined by the official Binance 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on May 31, 2026, using the BTC/USDT trading pair. Watch Bitcoin's price action as May 31, 2026 approaches to see whether it sustains levels above these thresholds.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on Bitcoin's May 31 price, which often diverges from current spot price alone. While spot price captures only today's valuation, prediction odds incorporate forward-looking sentiment, volatility expectations, and macro catalysts over the next 18 months. Comparing market-implied probabilities to analyst price targets and on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to consensus forecasts.
The Bitcoin above ___ on May 31 market resolves on May 31, 2026. Resolution hinges on whether Bitcoin's price meets or exceeds the specified threshold at that time. Traders should monitor the exact resolution criteria and data source used by Polymarket to avoid surprises at settlement. Mark your calendar and plan your position management accordingly, as this event spans a multi-month window with significant potential for price movement.
Bitcoin's path to May 31, 2026 depends on macroeconomic policy, regulatory announcements, institutional adoption milestones, and on-chain metrics. Federal Reserve rate decisions, inflation data, and geopolitical developments can shift risk appetite and crypto valuations. Spot exchange inflows or outflows, major corporate treasury allocations, and Bitcoin ETF flows also influence price momentum. Traders should track these catalysts and adjust positions as new information reshapes the probability of Bitcoin reaching the target price by May 31.