TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Crypto
Bitcoin above ___ on May 31?
polymarket

Bitcoin above ___ on May 31?

Volume:
$1,816,524

72,000

 - Polymarket

72,000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 1, 2026

Closed: May 31, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

72,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$351,790
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

70,000

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$269,766
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

68,000

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$114,346
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

66,000

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$42,116
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

74,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$364,655
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

76,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$265,080
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

78,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$165,085
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

84,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90,610
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

82,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,745
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,420
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

86,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,912
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market on Polymarket tracks whether Bitcoin will trade above $66,000 at noon ET on May 31, 2026, based on the Binance BTC/USDT closing price. The leading outcome currently stands at 100.0%, while a secondary outcome asking if Bitcoin will exceed $74,000 on the same date holds 0.1% probability. Resolution will be determined by the official Binance 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on May 31, 2026, using the BTC/USDT trading pair. Watch Bitcoin's price action as May 31, 2026 approaches to see whether it sustains levels above these thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin above ___ on May 31? dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for this crypto event. It displays the current implied probability that Bitcoin will trade above a specified price level by May 31, 2026. The dashboard updates $897,117 in 24-hour volume and reflects cumulative market depth of $1,816,524. You can monitor price history, order flow, and how trader conviction shifts as new information emerges closer to the resolution date.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on Bitcoin's May 31 price, which often diverges from current spot price alone. While spot price captures only today's valuation, prediction odds incorporate forward-looking sentiment, volatility expectations, and macro catalysts over the next 18 months. Comparing market-implied probabilities to analyst price targets and on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to consensus forecasts.

The Bitcoin above ___ on May 31 market resolves on May 31, 2026. Resolution hinges on whether Bitcoin's price meets or exceeds the specified threshold at that time. Traders should monitor the exact resolution criteria and data source used by Polymarket to avoid surprises at settlement. Mark your calendar and plan your position management accordingly, as this event spans a multi-month window with significant potential for price movement.

Bitcoin's path to May 31, 2026 depends on macroeconomic policy, regulatory announcements, institutional adoption milestones, and on-chain metrics. Federal Reserve rate decisions, inflation data, and geopolitical developments can shift risk appetite and crypto valuations. Spot exchange inflows or outflows, major corporate treasury allocations, and Bitcoin ETF flows also influence price momentum. Traders should track these catalysts and adjust positions as new information reshapes the probability of Bitcoin reaching the target price by May 31.