TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin above ___ on May 30?
polymarket

Bitcoin above ___ on May 30?

Volume:
$2,597,325

68,000

 - Polymarket

68,000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

68,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$476,054
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

70,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$415,622
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

72,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$397,331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

66,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$144,104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

74,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$390,075
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

76,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$314,776
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

78,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$142,299
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90,590
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

86,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80,435
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

82,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79,464
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

84,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66,575
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether Bitcoin will trade above $68,000 at noon ET on May 30, 2026, based on the closing price of the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at that specific time. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official Binance BTC/USDT closing price on May 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, with no alternative exchanges or trading pairs considered valid for settlement.

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin above ___ on May 30? dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds, historical price movements, and trading activity for this event. You can monitor the current implied probability that Bitcoin will trade above the specified threshold on May 30, 2026. The dashboard displays $1,649,902 in 24-hour volume and $2,597,312 in total group volume, giving you a clear picture of market depth and trader conviction. Live odds updates help you spot shifts in sentiment as new information emerges closer to the resolution date.

Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective assessment of Bitcoin's likelihood of exceeding the threshold by May 30, 2026, incorporating current spot price, volatility expectations, and macroeconomic outlook. These odds often diverge from simple technical analysis or analyst price targets because they embed real financial incentives and penalty for inaccuracy. Comparing market-implied probabilities to your own fundamental view of Bitcoin's trajectory helps identify potential value. Spot price alone does not account for the time decay and volatility risk between now and May 30.

Bitcoin's path to the May 30 threshold depends on macroeconomic conditions, regulatory announcements, institutional adoption news, and shifts in monetary policy expectations. Major catalysts include Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, inflation data, and geopolitical developments that affect risk appetite. Spot market volatility, options expiry dates, and large whale transactions can trigger sharp moves. Technological upgrades or security incidents on major exchanges also influence sentiment. Tracking these signals helps you anticipate market swings and adjust your prediction market position accordingly before May 30, 2026.