TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Crypto
Bitcoin above ___ on May 28?
polymarket

Bitcoin above ___ on May 28?

Volume:
$3,071,782

72,000

 - Polymarket

72,000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 28, 2026

Closed: May 28, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

72,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$528,325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

70,000

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$461,668
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

68,000

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$222,711
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

74,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$666,800
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

76,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$413,466
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

78,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$271,096
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$258,743
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

82,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$138,578
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

84,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,319
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

88,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,297
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

86,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,780
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether Bitcoin will trade above $88,000 at noon ET on May 28, 2026, using the Binance BTC/USDT closing price as the reference point. On Polymarket, the leading outcome carries a probability of 10.0%, while Bitcoin trading above $72,000 on the same date is priced at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by the 1-minute candle close on Binance at 12:00 ET in the specified timezone. Watch the Bitcoin price action as May 28, 2026 approaches to gauge whether spot prices can sustain levels near or above the $88,000 threshold.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Bitcoin price event on Polymarket. It displays the current implied probability that Bitcoin will trade above the specified threshold on May 28, 2026, along with 24-hour volume of $2,256,031 and cumulative market volume of $3,071,782. Users can monitor how odds shift as new trades flow in, view historical price movements, and assess market sentiment through the collective positions of traders betting on Bitcoin's May 28 price level.

Prediction market odds reflect trader conviction about Bitcoin's price trajectory by May 28, 2026, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. The market-implied probability incorporates forward-looking sentiment, volatility expectations, and macroeconomic uncertainty. Comparing prediction odds to today's Bitcoin price and consensus analyst targets reveals whether traders expect appreciation, depreciation, or consolidation. This gap highlights how much upside or downside the market is pricing in relative to present levels and expert opinion.

The market resolves on May 28, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price at a specified time and data source. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The resolution hinges on verifiable price data from the designated reference, ensuring an objective settlement. Until that date, positions remain open and odds continue to fluctuate based on new trades and market developments affecting Bitcoin's price trajectory.

Major catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, and macroeconomic sentiment shifts that influence risk appetite. Bitcoin-specific events such as regulatory developments, institutional adoption news, or significant on-chain activity can drive sharp price moves. Geopolitical tensions, traditional market volatility, and competing asset class performance also sway trader positioning. Technical levels, options expiry dates, and derivative liquidations may trigger momentum. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate odds shifts and adjust their May 28 Bitcoin price predictions accordingly.