TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Bitcoin will trade above $88,000 at noon ET on May 28, 2026, using the Binance BTC/USDT closing price as the reference point. On Polymarket, the leading outcome carries a probability of 10.0%, while Bitcoin trading above $72,000 on the same date is priced at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by the 1-minute candle close on Binance at 12:00 ET in the specified timezone. Watch the Bitcoin price action as May 28, 2026 approaches to gauge whether spot prices can sustain levels near or above the $88,000 threshold.
Prediction market odds reflect trader conviction about Bitcoin's price trajectory by May 28, 2026, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. The market-implied probability incorporates forward-looking sentiment, volatility expectations, and macroeconomic uncertainty. Comparing prediction odds to today's Bitcoin price and consensus analyst targets reveals whether traders expect appreciation, depreciation, or consolidation. This gap highlights how much upside or downside the market is pricing in relative to present levels and expert opinion.
The market resolves on May 28, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price at a specified time and data source. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The resolution hinges on verifiable price data from the designated reference, ensuring an objective settlement. Until that date, positions remain open and odds continue to fluctuate based on new trades and market developments affecting Bitcoin's price trajectory.
Major catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, and macroeconomic sentiment shifts that influence risk appetite. Bitcoin-specific events such as regulatory developments, institutional adoption news, or significant on-chain activity can drive sharp price moves. Geopolitical tensions, traditional market volatility, and competing asset class performance also sway trader positioning. Technical levels, options expiry dates, and derivative liquidations may trigger momentum. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate odds shifts and adjust their May 28 Bitcoin price predictions accordingly.