TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin above ___ on June 9?
polymarket

Bitcoin above ___ on June 9?

Volume:
$3,056,839

60,000

 - Polymarket

60,000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 9, 2026

Closed: Jun 9, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

60,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$639,927
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

58,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$374,060
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

56,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$306,165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

66,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$409,830
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

62,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$367,188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

64,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$323,524
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

72,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$220,152
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

68,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$204,914
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$160,262
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

74,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

76,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,221
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

78,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,464
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Intro

This market tracks whether Bitcoin will trade above $60,000 on Polymarket, with resolution determined by the Binance BTC/USDT closing price at noon ET on the specified date. The leading outcome currently stands at 100.0% probability. Resolution will be based on the 1-minute candle close price from Binance's BTC/USDT pair at 12:00 ET timezone on June 9, 2026, with the market settling to Yes if that close exceeds $60,000 and No otherwise. Watch the Binance BTC/USDT price action approaching the noon ET close on June 9, 2026, as that single candle will determine the final settlement.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about Bitcoin's June 9 price, often diverging from current spot prices on cryptocurrency exchanges. While spot markets price Bitcoin in real time based on immediate supply and demand, prediction markets incorporate longer-term sentiment, regulatory risk, and macroeconomic factors. Comparing the implied probability from Polymarket to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to consensus expectations.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing "Yes" (Bitcoin above the threshold) or "No" (Bitcoin at or below the threshold) by June 9. The share price reflects the market's probability estimate, ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). Traders profit by correctly predicting the outcome, and prices adjust continuously as new information emerges and positions shift, creating a real-time odds feed visible on the dashboard.

Bitcoin's price movement toward the June 9 threshold could be driven by macroeconomic shifts, Federal Reserve policy announcements, regulatory developments, and institutional adoption news. On-chain metrics such as whale accumulation or exchange inflows may signal buying or selling pressure. Geopolitical events, corporate earnings reports from major tech firms, and Bitcoin mining difficulty adjustments can also influence sentiment. Tracking these catalysts alongside prediction market odds helps traders anticipate price swings and adjust positions accordingly.