TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

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2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Bitcoin above ___ on June 30?
polymarket

Bitcoin above ___ on June 30?

Volume:
$2,055,304

56,000

 - Polymarket

56,000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

56,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$419,198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

58,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$379,602
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

54,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$230,079
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

52,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$95,554
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

62,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$265,734
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$260,756
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

64,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200,947
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

66,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84,880
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

72,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,051
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

68,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,781
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,720
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether Bitcoin's price on the Binance BTC/USDT pair will exceed $52,000 at noon ET on June 30. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—Bitcoin closing above $52,000—currently stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by the closing price of the 1-minute candle at 12:00 ET on June 30, 2026, as reported directly by Binance's official trading data. Watch the Binance BTC/USDT price action as June 30, 2026 approaches, since that date marks the exact resolution window for this contract.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin price level market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for this prediction on whether Bitcoin will trade above a specific price threshold by June 30, 2026. The interface displays current market probability, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $1,551,323, giving traders a live view of how the market is pricing the outcome. Total volume across this event stands at $2,055,304, reflecting sustained interest in Bitcoin's price trajectory heading into mid-2026.

Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will occur, which often diverges from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. On this market, the implied probability represents aggregated bets from participants weighing technical analysis, macroeconomic factors, and regulatory developments. Unlike a static price quote, these odds update continuously as new information emerges and traders adjust positions, making them a dynamic gauge of market sentiment about Bitcoin's June 30 level.

This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by verifying Bitcoin's price against credible public sources. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout once the event is confirmed and the market is officially settled. Until that date, positions remain open and can be traded, allowing participants to adjust their exposure as new information about Bitcoin's trajectory becomes available.

Major catalysts for this market include Federal Reserve policy decisions, inflation data, geopolitical developments, and Bitcoin adoption announcements from institutional players. Regulatory clarity or restrictions in key jurisdictions could significantly shift trader expectations. Technical breakouts or breakdowns, macroeconomic shocks, and shifts in risk appetite across broader markets also influence Bitcoin's price path. Any credible news about network upgrades, corporate treasury allocations, or central bank digital currency progress may prompt rapid repricing of the odds.