TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Bitcoin will trade above $62,000 on Polymarket, measured by the closing price of the Binance BTC/USDT pair at noon ET. The leading outcome currently stands at 100.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by the final close price of the 1-minute candle on Binance at 12:00 PM ET on June 17, 2026, with the official resolution source being Binance's BTC/USDT trading data. Watch the Binance BTC/USDT price action as it approaches the noon ET close on June 17, 2026, which is the specific moment that will determine the market outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing "Yes" (Bitcoin above the threshold) or "No" (Bitcoin at or below the threshold) on Jun 17, 2026. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market odds reflect the aggregated belief of Polymarket participants, with share prices ranging from 0 to 1 dollar, where higher prices indicate greater confidence in the "Yes" outcome. Volume, bid-ask spreads, and order-book liquidity on Polymarket determine execution costs and price discovery efficiency for this specific Bitcoin price level.
Major catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, and macroeconomic sentiment shifts that typically drive risk-on or risk-off flows into crypto. Bitcoin-specific events such as regulatory clarity, institutional adoption news, or large on-chain transactions can also trigger sharp price moves. Geopolitical developments, traditional market volatility, and technical breakouts or breakdowns around key support and resistance levels may accelerate Bitcoin toward or away from the threshold. Monitoring these signals helps traders assess whether current market odds underestimate or overestimate the probability of Bitcoin reaching the specified price by June 17.