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$134.1b

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$113,466,932

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

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2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Bitcoin above ___ on July 13?
polymarket

Bitcoin above ___ on July 13?

Volume:
$2,090,546

60,000

 - Polymarket

60,000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 13, 2026

Closed: Jul 13, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

60,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$395,889
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

62,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$377,221
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

58,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$104,266
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

54,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$53,936
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

56,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$41,502
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

66,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$463,116
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

64,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$312,142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

68,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$224,007
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,832
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

74,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,836
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

72,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,799
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether Bitcoin's price on the Binance BTC/USDT pair will exceed $60,000 at noon ET on July 13. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—Bitcoin closing above $60,000—stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by the closing price of the 1-minute candle at 12:00 PM ET on July 13, 2026, as reported directly by Binance's official trading data. Watch the Binance BTC/USDT candle close at noon ET on July 13, 2026, for final settlement.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin price level market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for this event, which hinges on whether Bitcoin's spot price will exceed a specific threshold by Jul 13, 2026. The interface displays current implied probability, historical price movements, and 24-hour volume data, giving traders a live snapshot of how the market is pricing the outcome. This dashboard lets you monitor consensus sentiment and liquidity as the event date approaches.

Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, which often diverges from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. In this market, the implied probability represents the crowd's confidence that Bitcoin will trade above the target level on the settlement date. Unlike static price targets, these odds update continuously as new information emerges, making them a dynamic gauge of market expectations relative to today's spot price and longer-term sentiment.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares that pay out if Bitcoin closes above the specified price on Jul 13, 2026. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price of these shares directly reflects the probability the community assigns to the outcome. As traders enter positions based on their views of Bitcoin's trajectory, the share price adjusts, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism that aggregates dispersed information into a single odds figure.

This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Bitcoin's price is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether the spot price exceeded the target level at that time. Shares held by traders who correctly predicted the outcome pay out in full, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The exact timing and price source follow standard market protocols to ensure fair and transparent settlement.

Major catalysts include macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy shifts, regulatory developments affecting cryptocurrency, and Bitcoin-specific technical or adoption news. Geopolitical events, traditional market volatility, and large on-chain transactions can also influence trader sentiment. As Jul 13, 2026 approaches, intraday price action and spot market momentum typically drive increased trading volume and sharper odds movements. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate shifts in this market's probability.