Bezel Tudor Index Up or Down: May

The market resolves on May 31, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official closing price or level of the Bezel Tudor Index at that time. Traders who correctly predicted whether the index would finish above or below $3708 receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The exact settlement methodology and data source are specified in the market contract terms on Kalshi.

Key catalysts include Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, inflation and employment data releases, corporate earnings reports, and broader equity market sentiment. The Bezel Tudor Index tracks luxury goods and discretionary spending, so consumer confidence reports, retail sales figures, and wealth effects from stock market moves significantly influence its direction. Geopolitical events, currency fluctuations, and changes in high-net-worth consumer behavior can also shift the index. Traders monitor these signals continuously to adjust positions ahead of May 31, 2026 resolution.