TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Bezel Rolex Index, which measures luxury watch valuations with emphasis on vintage Rolex timepieces and their components, will close above $12,882 on May 31, 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome carries a probability of 98.0%. The market resolves based on the official Bezel Rolex Index value on May 31, 2026. Watch for any major shifts in the vintage luxury watch market leading up to the May 31, 2026 resolution date, as broader economic conditions and collector demand could influence final index positioning.
The Bezel Rolex Index Up or Down: May market resolves on May 31, 2026. At that time, the final settlement is determined by comparing the official Bezel Rolex Index closing price to the $12,882 threshold. Traders who correctly predicted whether the index would finish above or below that level receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution is based on the index value at market close on the specified date.
Several factors could drive the Bezel Rolex Index higher or lower by May 2026. Luxury watch market sentiment, secondary-market pricing trends for Rolex sports models, and broader economic conditions affecting high-end collectibles all influence the index. Supply chain developments, brand announcements, auction results for rare Rolex pieces, and shifts in collector demand can create sharp moves. Macroeconomic data affecting wealth and discretionary spending, as well as changes in alternative investment appetite, may also impact the index trajectory toward the $12,882 resolution threshold.