TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bezel Rolex Index Up or Down: May
kalshi

Bezel Rolex Index Up or Down: May

Volume:
$1,849

Price to Beat: $12,882

 - Kalshi

Price to Beat: $12,882 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 1, 2026

Closed: May 31, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Price to Beat: $12,882

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,849
N/A
N/A
$1,235
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether the Bezel Rolex Index, which measures luxury watch valuations with emphasis on vintage Rolex timepieces and their components, will close above $12,882 on May 31, 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome carries a probability of 98.0%. The market resolves based on the official Bezel Rolex Index value on May 31, 2026. Watch for any major shifts in the vintage luxury watch market leading up to the May 31, 2026 resolution date, as broader economic conditions and collector demand could influence final index positioning.

Frequently asked questions

The PredictionHero dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Bezel Rolex Index Up or Down: May event on Kalshi. It displays the current probability that the Bezel Rolex Index will close above $12,882 at the end of May 2026, along with historical price movements and market depth. The dashboard shows total group volume of $1,849 and 24-hour volume of $53, giving you a complete view of liquidity and trader interest in this financial prediction market.

The Bezel Rolex Index Up or Down: May market resolves on May 31, 2026. At that time, the final settlement is determined by comparing the official Bezel Rolex Index closing price to the $12,882 threshold. Traders who correctly predicted whether the index would finish above or below that level receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution is based on the index value at market close on the specified date.

Several factors could drive the Bezel Rolex Index higher or lower by May 2026. Luxury watch market sentiment, secondary-market pricing trends for Rolex sports models, and broader economic conditions affecting high-end collectibles all influence the index. Supply chain developments, brand announcements, auction results for rare Rolex pieces, and shifts in collector demand can create sharp moves. Macroeconomic data affecting wealth and discretionary spending, as well as changes in alternative investment appetite, may also impact the index trajectory toward the $12,882 resolution threshold.