TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Science and Technology
Best AI this week?
kalshi

Best AI this week?

Volume:
$140,664

Claude

 - Kalshi

Claude - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 21, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Claude

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,639
N/A
N/A
$19,205
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ChatGPT

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,693
N/A
N/A
$39,250
Settled
No
kalshi

Qwen

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,549
N/A
N/A
$38,549
Settled
No
kalshi

Gemini

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,272
N/A
N/A
$25,881
Settled
No
kalshi

Grok

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,008
N/A
N/A
$8,367
Settled
No
kalshi

Dola

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,503
N/A
N/A
$3,503
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event determines which major AI company will have developed the top-ranked large language model as of March 21, 2026. The resolution depends on identifying the leading LLM according to established rankings on that date, with the market resolving affirmatively if any of the specified organizations holds that top position.