TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
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All
Science and Technology
Best AI this week?
kalshi

Best AI this week?

Volume:
$127,082

Claude

 - Kalshi

Claude - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

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Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 14, 2026

Closed: Mar 14, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Claude

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32,619
N/A
N/A
$23,338
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gemini

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,931
N/A
N/A
$28,912
Settled
No
kalshi

ChatGPT

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,841
N/A
N/A
$24,644
Settled
No
kalshi

Grok

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,040
N/A
N/A
$22,331
Settled
No
kalshi

Qwen

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,785
N/A
N/A
$14,785
Settled
No
kalshi

Dola

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$866
N/A
N/A
$866
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event concerns which organization will have developed the top-ranked large language model as of March 14, 2026. The market tracks whether any of the specified major AI companies—xAI, OpenAI, Alibaba, ByteDance, Google, or Anthropic—holds the leading position in LLM performance or capability rankings on that date.