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Politics
Berlin State Elections: Grüne # of seats?
polymarket

Berlin State Elections: Grüne # of seats?

Volume:
$55,277

25-29

 - Polymarket

25-29 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 22, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 2:12 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

25-29

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

35-39

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,872
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30-34

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,097
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-24

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,650
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-44

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,709
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,755
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

45+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,059
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election. This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system. If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).

Polymarket

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election. This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system. If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the number of seats the Grüne might win in the Berlin state elections. It shows current trading activity and $5,671 24-hour volume, letting users monitor how the market expects the Grüne’s performance to shift as election day approaches. The data reflects collective trader sentiment on Polymarket, updated continuously with each new bet placed on short_topic.

Currently, this market reflects a stronger lean toward certain seat ranges than recent polling averages suggest. While polls give a mixed picture of voter intent, traders are pricing in a narrower band of possible outcomes, influenced by recent campaign momentum and local dynamics. This gap can widen or shrink as election day approaches, depending on media coverage and shifting voter sentiment.

This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final seat count will be compared against the market’s listed ranges to determine which outcome wins, closing all positions based on official tallies.