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Bank of Russia rate decision in September
kalshi

Bank of Russia rate decision in September

Volume:
$33,955

Maintain current rate

 - Kalshi

Maintain current rate - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 6:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Maintain current rate

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,320
N/A
N/A
$19,995
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cut 25bps

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,984
N/A
N/A
$2,584
Settled
No
kalshi

Cut 50bps

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,891
N/A
N/A
$1,182
Settled
No
kalshi

Cut more than 50bps

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$407
N/A
N/A
$363
Settled
No
kalshi

Hike 50bps

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$199
N/A
N/A
$176
Settled
No
kalshi

Hike 25bps

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$79
Settled
No
kalshi

Hike more than 50bps

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the Bank of Russia's key interest rate decision at its scheduled September 2026 meeting. Participants assess whether the central bank will adjust rates upward, downward, or maintain the current level based on official announcements. The outcome depends solely on the rate change declared at the meeting.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the Bank of Russia at its September 2026 Board of Directors meeting. Each market corresponds to a specific rate change outcome: cutting or hiking by various basis point amounts, or maintaining the current rate. Only changes to the primary policy rate count; multiple rates existing at the central bank are irrelevant unless explicitly stated. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, the "No change" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes occurring outside scheduled meetings do not affect contract resolution. Basis point ranges are inclusive, meaning that a change exactly matching the upper bound of a range (e.g., 50bps in a "25-50bp" market) counts toward that market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Bank of Russia rate market on Kalshi tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $3,954. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different rate decisions at the upcoming meeting. The interface updates continuously, reflecting the latest bets and market sentiment as the event approaches.

This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final decision will be based on the official announcement from the central bank, and the market will close accordingly to reflect the actual rate move that occurs at the meeting.

Key signals include Russian economic data releases, global market volatility, statements from central bank officials, and shifts in inflation or growth expectations. Any unexpected comments or data that suggest a change in policy direction can quickly move this market, as traders reassess the probabilities of different rate outcomes ahead of the final decision.