TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Economics
Bank of Korea rate decision in October
kalshi

Bank of Korea rate decision in October

Volume:
$15,036

Maintain current rate

 - Kalshi

Maintain current rate - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 8:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Maintain current rate

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,567
N/A
N/A
$4,671
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hike 1-25bps

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,191
N/A
N/A
$3,644
Settled
No
kalshi

Cut 1-25bps

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,217
N/A
N/A
$3,217
Settled
No
kalshi

Cut more than 25bps

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Hike more than 25bps

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

The Bank of Korea will convene its Monetary Policy Board in October 2026 to decide on adjustments to its primary policy rate. Market participants track these decisions to anticipate economic conditions and monetary policy direction. The outcome reflects whether rates are increased, decreased, or held steady within specified thresholds.

Kalshi

Contracts resolve based on the official policy rate decision announced by the Bank of Korea at its October Monetary Policy Board meeting. Only changes to the primary policy rate are considered; multiple rates are disregarded unless explicitly stated. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed beyond the expiration date, markets for “No change” resolve to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate adjustments occurring outside scheduled meetings do not impact the resolution of these contracts. Each market corresponds to a specific rate movement category—cut more than 25 basis points, cut 1-25 basis points, maintain current rate, hike 1-25 basis points, or hike more than 25 basis points—and resolves to Yes only if the Bank of Korea’s announced decision matches that exact category.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks the latest odds and price history for the Bank of Korea rate move market, along with real-time 24-hour volume of $1,331. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around the likelihood of a rate change at the October meeting, offering a live snapshot of market sentiment and trading activity for this specific economic event.

This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result hinges on the official announcement from the Bank of Korea’s Monetary Policy Board meeting, which will state whether the policy rate is increased, decreased, or held unchanged — the exact figure is compared against the market’s defined contracts.

Key signals include upcoming inflation reports, GDP growth data, and any direct speeches or guidance from Bank of Korea officials. Shifts in global monetary policy, commodity price changes, or domestic political developments could also influence trader sentiment. As new information emerges, this market’s odds may swing significantly, especially if data surprises consensus expectations.