TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 8:59 PM EST
Kalshi
The Bank of Korea will convene its Monetary Policy Board in October 2026 to decide on adjustments to its primary policy rate. Market participants track these decisions to anticipate economic conditions and monetary policy direction. The outcome reflects whether rates are increased, decreased, or held steady within specified thresholds.
Contracts resolve based on the official policy rate decision announced by the Bank of Korea at its October Monetary Policy Board meeting. Only changes to the primary policy rate are considered; multiple rates are disregarded unless explicitly stated. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed beyond the expiration date, markets for “No change” resolve to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate adjustments occurring outside scheduled meetings do not impact the resolution of these contracts. Each market corresponds to a specific rate movement category—cut more than 25 basis points, cut 1-25 basis points, maintain current rate, hike 1-25 basis points, or hike more than 25 basis points—and resolves to Yes only if the Bank of Korea’s announced decision matches that exact category.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result hinges on the official announcement from the Bank of Korea’s Monetary Policy Board meeting, which will state whether the policy rate is increased, decreased, or held unchanged — the exact figure is compared against the market’s defined contracts.
Key signals include upcoming inflation reports, GDP growth data, and any direct speeches or guidance from Bank of Korea officials. Shifts in global monetary policy, commodity price changes, or domestic political developments could also influence trader sentiment. As new information emerges, this market’s odds may swing significantly, especially if data surprises consensus expectations.