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$134,145,987

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

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30,383

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Economics
Bank of England rate decision in September
kalshi

What will the Bank of England rate decision be in September?

Volume:
$59,168

Maintain current rate

 - Kalshi

Maintain current rate - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 17, 6:54 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Maintain current rate

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,238
N/A
N/A
$14,393
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hike 1-25bps

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,954
N/A
N/A
$21,637
Settled
No
kalshi

Cut more than 25bps

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,139
N/A
N/A
$1,022
Settled
No
kalshi

Hike more than 25bps

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,932
N/A
N/A
$2,743
Settled
No
kalshi

Cut 1-25bps

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,906
N/A
N/A
$1,741
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

The Bank of England holds regular meetings to adjust its key interest rate, influencing economic conditions such as borrowing costs and inflation. These decisions are closely watched by investors, policymakers, and the public. The outcome of each meeting determines whether rates are increased, decreased, or held steady, impacting various sectors of the economy.

Kalshi

The resolution of these markets depends on the official policy rate decision announced by the Bank of England following its September Monetary Policy Committee meeting. Only changes to the primary policy rate are considered; multiple rates, if any, are disregarded unless explicitly stated. If the scheduled meeting is cancelled or delayed beyond the expiration date, contracts for 'No change' will resolve to Yes, while all other outcomes resolve to No. Emergency rate adjustments occurring outside of scheduled meetings do not affect the resolution of these contracts. The basis point ranges specified in each market are inclusive, meaning that the exact boundary values (e.g., 25bp or 50bp) count toward the outcome. The markets cover five possible actions: cutting rates by more than 25 basis points, cutting rates by 1-25 basis points, maintaining the current rate, hiking rates by 1-25 basis points, or hiking rates by more than 25 basis points. Each market resolves to Yes only if the Bank of England’s announced decision matches the specific action described in that market’s primary rule.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Bank of England rate decision market shows real-time odds and price history on Kalshi, along with 24-hour volume of $19,746. It tracks how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of various rate moves at the upcoming Monetary Policy Committee meeting, offering a dynamic view of market expectations and activity.

This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official Bank of England announcements are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rate decision — including any adjustments or holding steady — will set the settlement, reflecting exactly what the Monetary Policy Committee communicates at that meeting.