TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 6:54 AM EST
Kalshi
The Bank of England holds regular meetings to adjust its key interest rate, influencing economic conditions such as borrowing costs and inflation. These decisions are closely watched by investors, policymakers, and the public. The outcome of each meeting determines whether rates are increased, decreased, or held steady, impacting various sectors of the economy.
The resolution of these markets depends on the official policy rate decision announced by the Bank of England following its September Monetary Policy Committee meeting. Only changes to the primary policy rate are considered; multiple rates, if any, are disregarded unless explicitly stated. If the scheduled meeting is cancelled or delayed beyond the expiration date, contracts for 'No change' will resolve to Yes, while all other outcomes resolve to No. Emergency rate adjustments occurring outside of scheduled meetings do not affect the resolution of these contracts. The basis point ranges specified in each market are inclusive, meaning that the exact boundary values (e.g., 25bp or 50bp) count toward the outcome. The markets cover five possible actions: cutting rates by more than 25 basis points, cutting rates by 1-25 basis points, maintaining the current rate, hiking rates by 1-25 basis points, or hiking rates by more than 25 basis points. Each market resolves to Yes only if the Bank of England’s announced decision matches the specific action described in that market’s primary rule.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official Bank of England announcements are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rate decision — including any adjustments or holding steady — will set the settlement, reflecting exactly what the Monetary Policy Committee communicates at that meeting.