TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bank of England rate decision in June
kalshi

Bank of England rate decision in June

Volume:
$22,827

Maintain current rate

 - Kalshi

Maintain current rate - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 18, 2026

Closed: Jun 18, 6:54 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Maintain current rate

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,832
N/A
N/A
$4,941
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cut more than 25bps

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,396
N/A
N/A
$5,385
Settled
No
kalshi

Cut 1-25bps

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,790
N/A
N/A
$4,746
Settled
No
kalshi

Hike 1-25bps

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,920
N/A
N/A
$2,135
Settled
No
kalshi

Hike more than 25bps

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,889
N/A
N/A
$2,886
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks whether the Bank of England will keep interest rates unchanged at its June monetary policy meeting. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that the central bank maintains the current rate—stands at 77.0%, while the probability of a rate hike exceeding 25 basis points is 12.0%. Resolution will be determined by the Bank of England's official announcement and action at the June Monetary Policy Committee meeting scheduled for June 18, 2026. Watch the Bank of England's June monetary policy decision for the definitive rate action.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the official policy rate decision announced by the Bank of England at its June 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, the "No change" market resolves to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive, meaning a 25 basis point change counts as both the lower and upper bound of adjacent ranges.

Frequently asked questions

The PredictionHero dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Bank of England rate decision in June on Kalshi. You can monitor the probability of the top outcome, view 24-hour volume of $1,520, and observe cumulative group volume of $22,827. The dashboard displays live price movements, historical odds charts, and order flow to help you understand how traders are positioning ahead of the June monetary policy announcement. This single-venue view gives you direct insight into market sentiment on whether the Bank of England will maintain, raise, or cut rates.

The Bank of England rate decision in June market resolves on Jun 18, 2026, coinciding with the official announcement of the Monetary Policy Committee's decision. Resolution is determined by the Bank of England's published rate decision and any forward guidance released during the June meeting. Traders should monitor the official Bank of England communications and press conference for clarity on whether rates are held, raised, or cut. The market outcome is binary and tied directly to the central bank's formal announcement, making this event one of the most transparent and verifiable in prediction markets.

Several catalysts could shift odds before the June decision. UK inflation data releases, employment figures, and GDP growth reports will influence trader expectations about rate necessity. Comments from Bank of England officials, including the Governor and MPC members, often signal policy direction and can trigger sharp repricing. Global economic developments, Federal Reserve decisions, and currency movements also matter, since sterling weakness or international rate shifts affect UK monetary policy calculus. Market volatility around geopolitical events or financial stability concerns could accelerate position changes. Each data release and official communication provides new information that traders incorporate into the contract price in real time.