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406,065

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Bank of England decision in September?
limitless

Bank of England decision in September?

Volume:
$11

No change

 - Limitless

No change - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 17, 9:13 AM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

No change

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99.8¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

50+ bps decrease

View
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

25 bps decrease

View
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

25 bps increase

View
N/A
N/A
99.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

50+ bps increase

View
N/A
N/A
99.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Limitless

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to expectations derived from traditional sources like economist polls and futures contracts. While these sources anticipate a range of possibilities, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting real-time adjustments based on new information and evolving sentiment. The difference between this market's implied probabilities and those from external sources can highlight areas of disagreement or unique insights held by traders. It’s important to note that this market represents a forward-looking assessment of the Bank of England decision.

On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Bank of England decision. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders willing to buy a contract, the higher its price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the event approaches. Volume and order flow are key indicators to watch when assessing price movements.

This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Bank of England’s official announcement regarding its September decision is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual change to the base interest rate decided by the Monetary Policy Committee. Traders will be looking for the official statement released by the Bank of England following the meeting to determine the final outcome and settle the market. The market's resolution will reflect the official action taken by the central bank.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 17, 2026. Key economic data releases, such as inflation figures, employment reports, and GDP growth, will be closely watched. Unexpectedly strong or weak data could shift expectations regarding the Bank of England's policy stance. Furthermore, statements from Bank of England officials, including members of the Monetary Policy Committee, could influence market sentiment. Geopolitical events and global economic conditions also have the potential to impact the decision, causing fluctuations in trading activity and price adjustments within this market.