TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner
polymarket

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

Volume:
$497,141

Jay Feely

 - Polymarket

Jay Feely - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 22, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 2:37 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Jay Feely

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$44,124
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Paul Reevs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$225,947
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mark Brnovich

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Matt Gress

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,814
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Joseph Chaplik

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brandon Sowers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kaitlin Purrington

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,351
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Todd Graham

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,592
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kari Lake

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,025
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Gina Swoboda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,955
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Muchelle Ugenti-Rita

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,908
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Derrick Gallego

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,684
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

John Trobough

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,490
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jason Duey

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,822
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate L

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate N

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate O

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Intro

This market tracks whether Jay Feely will secure the Republican Party nomination for Arizona's 1st congressional district in the 2026 midterm elections. On Polymarket, Feely holds 88.5% probability of winning the nomination. Resolution will be determined by official Republican sources including the RNC, with the Republican primary election scheduled for August 4, 2026, serving as the key date when Arizona voters will decide the nominee.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently asked questions

The AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and price movements for the Republican primary race in Arizona's 1st congressional district. You can monitor the current probability of each candidate winning the nomination, view 24-hour trading volume of $29,012, and observe historical price trends. The dashboard displays the leading outcome and its implied probability, allowing you to see how market sentiment shifts as new campaign developments, endorsements, and polling data emerge throughout the race.

The AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner market is scheduled to resolve on Aug 4, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the Republican primary election in Arizona's 1st congressional district. The market will settle based on which candidate receives the most votes and secures the Republican nomination for the general election. Traders should monitor the Arizona Secretary of State's official announcements and any relevant state election authority communications for final vote tallies and certification.

Key catalysts for price movement in the AZ-01 Republican primary market include candidate endorsements from national or state party figures, debate performances, campaign funding announcements, and local media coverage. Shifts in voter registration or turnout expectations, unexpected candidate withdrawals, and scandal or controversy can also significantly impact odds. Polling releases and internal campaign data leaks often trigger sharp repricing. Grassroots organizing efforts, fundraising milestones, and candidate visibility in the district will shape trader expectations as the primary election approaches.