TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

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$103,397,351

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

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30,097

events

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2,622

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5

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Avocado advertised prices this week
kalshi

Avocado advertised prices this week

Volume:
$30

Above $0.90

 - Kalshi

Above $0.90 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 6:59 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $0.90

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.00

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $0.80

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.40

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.10

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.70

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.30

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.50

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.60

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.80

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event tracks the advertised retail pricing of Hass avocados in the United States for a specific week, using official government-reported data. It focuses solely on the average price listed by stores for consumer-facing sales, excluding actual transaction prices or other avocado varieties.

Kalshi

All markets in this event rely on the same underlying data source and methodology: the USDA AMS Weekly Grocery Store Specialty Crops Feature Activity report scheduled for publication on July 31, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the “This Week” weighted average advertised price for Hass avocados sold individually exceeds a specific threshold, ranging from $0.80 to $1.80. The relevant value is drawn exclusively from the National Conventional Summary section, under the row specifying Commodity “Avocados,” Variety “Hass,” and Unit “each.” All markets consistently use advertised retail prices rather than actual transaction prices. Prices for other avocado varieties (e.g., non-Hass), different sizes, package counts, organic avocados, regional breakdowns, or comparisons to prior weeks/years are explicitly excluded from consideration across all markets. The determination for each threshold is independent, meaning the resolution of one market does not affect any other.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the weekly avocado price market. It shows how traders are positioning around expected price movements, with real-time updates reflecting market sentiment and liquidity. The view includes current top-outcome probabilities and total volume of $30, helping users gauge interest and volatility in this market.

Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a more immediate, sentiment-driven outlook. Analysts may incorporate longer-term supply chain data and seasonal trends, while traders in this market react quickly to short-term news, inventory reports, and weather impacts. The gap between these views can widen when new information emerges, making this market a live barometer of rapid shifts in trader expectations.

This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be drawn from authoritative agricultural and retail sources, ensuring an objective close that matches real-world data. Traders should watch for final confirmation around that date to avoid last-minute surprises.

Key signals include weather developments affecting avocado yields, shifts in import/export policies, and major retail pricing announcements. Domestic supply disruptions or sudden changes in consumer demand — perhaps tied to health trends — can also sway this market. Traders will monitor agricultural reports, trade publications, and headline news to anticipate movement in the coming weeks.