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2,388,728,490

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$1,416,970,024

400,720

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2,633

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5

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Avocado advertised prices this week
kalshi

What will avocado prices be this week?

Volume:
$390

Above $0.90

 - Kalshi

Above $0.90 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 6:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $0.90

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$302
N/A
N/A
$302
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
$71
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.80

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $0.80

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.10

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.20

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.30

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.40

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.50

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.60

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.70

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event tracks the advertised retail pricing of Hass avocados in the United States for a specific week. It focuses on the average price listed in major grocery stores, reflecting consumer-facing cost data rather than actual purchase prices. The outcome depends on whether this average exceeds various price thresholds.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple price thresholds for the weekly advertised average retail price of Hass avocados in the U.S., using data from the USDA AMS Weekly Grocery Store Specialty Crops Feature Activity report published on September 11, 2026. All markets share the same data source and methodology, examining the 'This Week' weighted average price for avocados listed as 'Hass' variety, sold individually, within the National Conventional Summary section. Only advertised retail prices are considered—actual transaction prices are excluded. The relevant value is drawn exclusively from the specified row in the report; prices for other avocado varieties (e.g., non-Hass), different sizes or package counts, organic avocados, regional breakdowns, or comparisons to prior weeks/years are irrelevant for all markets. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the reported average exceeds its designated threshold, ranging incrementally from $0.80 to $1.80. The thresholds are evaluated against the same reported figure, with no market-specific modifications to the core data or criteria.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the avocado price market tracks the current odds of various price outcomes, providing a real-time view of where traders believe prices are headed. You can also see a price history chart to understand how sentiment has shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $176, and the total volume traded to date, which is $390. This allows you to gauge the level of interest and activity in this particular market.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts for avocado prices. While some analysts predict a continued rise in prices due to supply chain issues, this market suggests a more moderate outlook. It's important to remember that prediction markets represent the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially incorporating information not readily available to traditional analysts. This difference in outlook highlights the value of considering multiple sources when assessing future price movements.

This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the average advertised price of avocados is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and publicly available source for avocado price data. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome. Traders should monitor news and data sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential price fluctuations that could impact the final result.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Sep 19, 2026. Unexpected weather events in key avocado-growing regions, such as Mexico and California, could disrupt supply and drive prices higher. Changes in import/export regulations or trade agreements could also have a substantial effect. Furthermore, shifts in consumer demand, influenced by economic conditions or health trends, could also move the market. Any major news related to avocado crop yields or transportation costs will likely be reflected in the trading activity of this market.