TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 6:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the advertised retail pricing of Hass avocados in the United States for a specific week, using official government-reported data. It focuses solely on the average price listed by retailers, not the actual prices consumers pay at checkout.
All markets resolve based on the "This Week" weighted average advertised price for Hass avocados, sold individually, as reported in the USDA AMS Weekly Grocery Store Specialty Crops Feature Activity report published on August 28, 2026. The relevant data comes from the National Conventional Summary section, specifically the row showing Commodity "Avocados," Variety "Hass," and Unit "each." Only advertised retail prices are considered — transaction prices, regional variations, organic avocados, different sizes or package counts, and comparisons to prior weeks or years are excluded. Each market has a distinct price threshold (e.g., above $0.80, above $0.90, etc.), and the market resolves to Yes only if the reported average exceeds that specific threshold.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price movement will be determined by widely reported advertised avocado prices for the week in question, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 5, 2026. Weather events impacting avocado harvests, sudden changes in import/export policies, or unexpected shifts in consumer demand could all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, media coverage of supply chain disruptions or retail pricing strategies may cause rapid movements in this market as participants reassess their positions.