TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
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All
Economics
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
polymarket

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Volume:
$644,344

0-10

 - Polymarket

0-10 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 12, 2026

Closed: Apr 29, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

0-10

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$180,141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

60+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$244,063
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

10-20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$109,345
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-30

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,541
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

50-60

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,543
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,463
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30-40

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,248
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for April 30, 2026. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to April 30, 2026, for which data is available. This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for April 30, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.