What is the average get-in price of the US Open?

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more nuanced outlook by incorporating real-time trader sentiment and betting patterns. While analysts may issue consensus projections based on historical data and player form, prediction market odds synthesize a broader range of inputs, including market momentum and speculative positioning. This can lead to divergence, especially when unexpected events or injuries occur in the lead-up to the tournament.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the top outcome’s chance reflecting the inverse of its current price. Market depth and liquidity influence how quickly prices adjust to new information, such as player withdrawals or weather disruptions. The platform’s pricing mechanism captures a collective forecast that can shift rapidly as the tournament timeline progresses.

This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final average get-in price is calculated from official tournament data released after all players have entered, and the market settles based on that verified figure. No further adjustments are made after the resolution date.

Key signals that could shift this market include major player injuries, changes to tournament scheduling, or significant weather forecasts affecting participation. Bets may also react to early-round performance, with strong or weak starts influencing perceptions of overall demand. As the event nears, any news that alters expected attendance or player availability can cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi.