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406,422

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Australia unemployment rate in May
kalshi

Australia unemployment rate in May

Volume:
$1,325

Above 4.2%

 - Kalshi

Above 4.2% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 24, 9:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 4.2%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$602
N/A
N/A
$298
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.3%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
$38
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.0%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.7%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$266
N/A
N/A
$208
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
$74
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$154
N/A
N/A
$103
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.8%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
$19
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.6%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.1%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 10

Intro

This market tracks whether Australia's unemployment rate will exceed 4.0% in May 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that the unemployment rate rises above 4.0%—is priced at 93.5%. Resolution will be determined by the official Australia unemployment rate figure for May 2026. Watch for the Australian Bureau of Statistics' labor force release scheduled for late June 2026, which will provide the definitive unemployment data needed to settle this contract.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the official Australia unemployment rate for May 2026. The event establishes a series of threshold levels ranging from 4.0% to 4.9%, each representing a distinct resolution point. For each threshold, if the published unemployment rate exceeds that specific level, the corresponding market resolves affirmatively. The measurement uses the standard unemployment rate metric as reported by Australian statistical authorities for the specified month, with resolution based on the final official figure released for May 2026.

Frequently asked questions

The PredictionHero dashboard tracks live odds and trading activity for the Australia unemployment rate in May event on Kalshi. You can monitor the current probability of the top outcome, view real-time price movements, and observe $1,325 in total group volume across all outcomes. The 24-hour volume of $29 reflects recent trader interest. This single-venue snapshot lets you see how market participants are pricing Australia's May unemployment data as new economic signals emerge and the resolution date approaches.

Key drivers of Australia unemployment rate in May include Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy decisions, wage-growth data, consumer spending reports, and global economic conditions affecting Australian exports and hiring. Employment surveys and job advertisements released before May provide early signals. Geopolitical shocks, commodity price swings, and unexpected inflation or deflation can shift labor-market expectations. Major corporate earnings announcements and sector-specific disruptions may also influence trader positioning. As the May employment release date approaches, forward guidance from the RBA and any surprise economic data will likely trigger sharp price movements on Kalshi.