TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of the Australian Dollar against the US Dollar at a specific future date and time. The outcome depends on whether the exchange rate exceeds various predetermined thresholds, reflecting potential movements in currency value.
All markets resolve based on the AUDUSD exchange rate's opening candlestick value at 5pm ET on August 28, 2026, as published by Pyth. Each market has a specific threshold; if the rate is above that threshold at the specified time, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. Data is rounded to four decimal places. If Pyth does not publish data at exactly 5pm ET, the most recent available value before that time will be used. Any revisions to the exchange rate after the expiration time are disregarded when determining the resolution.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a real-time aggregate of trader expectations and betting behavior. While analysts may publish target ranges or scenarios based on economic indicators, this market reflects the crowd-sourced probability of where the AUDUSD rate will land at the specific close time, often reacting faster to new data or sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for the AUDUSD price market through continuous bidding and asking. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current probability reflects collective expectations of where the exchange rate will sit by the specified close time. Volume of $3,224 shows overall trader interest, while recent $648 highlights short-term activity shifts. As the Aug 28, 2026 deadline approaches, any significant economic data releases, policy announcements, or geopolitical developments could rapidly reshape market sentiment and adjust pricing dynamics.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final AUDUSD price at the specified time will be the determining factor, closing the market based on that verified exchange rate.
Several key signals may influence this market before Aug 28, 2026. Major economic indicators from Australia or the United States—such as employment reports, inflation figures, or interest rate decisions—often trigger immediate currency reactions. Central bank statements or policy surprises can also shift expectations overnight. Geopolitical tensions affecting trade flows or commodity prices might introduce volatility. Additionally, market sentiment swings driven by global risk appetite or dominant currency trends could impact pricing. Traders will watch these developments closely as they refine forecasts for the AUDUSD price market outcome.