TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the fluctuation of gasoline costs in a specific U.S. state over a single day. It reflects how fuel pricing can change based on supply, demand, and other economic factors within a localized market. The outcome depends on whether the state's average price meets or exceeds certain thresholds.
The event evaluates multiple threshold conditions for Arkansas's average regular gas price on October 15, 2026, using data from AAA. Each market corresponds to a distinct price threshold, ranging from $3.9050 to $3.9850. For any given threshold, if the recorded average price is strictly greater than that threshold, the associated market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets share the same observation date and data source, ensuring consistency across evaluations. The structure allows participants to assess the likelihood of the state's gas prices reaching various levels, offering granular insight into potential price movements.