TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Arkansas gas prices tomorrow
kalshi

Arkansas gas prices tomorrow

Volume:
$52,643

Above 3.9400

 - Kalshi

Above 3.9400 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 3.9400

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,314
N/A
N/A
$15,198
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9250

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,031
N/A
N/A
$1,921
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9200

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,674
N/A
N/A
$1,566
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9450

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$929
N/A
N/A
$761
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9150

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$676
N/A
N/A
$566
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9300

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$506
N/A
N/A
$486
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9350

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
$320
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9550

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,493
N/A
N/A
$7,493
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9850

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,843
N/A
N/A
$3,813
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9900

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,937
N/A
N/A
$1,797
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.0400

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,541
N/A
N/A
$208
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.0300

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,525
N/A
N/A
$1,297
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9750

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,504
N/A
N/A
$1,383
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.0200

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,473
N/A
N/A
$1,407
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9950

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,417
N/A
N/A
$1,255
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.0050

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,391
N/A
N/A
$1,271
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.0000

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,288
N/A
N/A
$1,260
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.0350

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,237
N/A
N/A
$317
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9700

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9500

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$693
N/A
N/A
$575
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.0100

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$647
N/A
N/A
$405
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.0250

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$633
N/A
N/A
$350
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9600

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$541
N/A
N/A
$425
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.0450

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$527
N/A
N/A
$314
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.0150

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$448
N/A
N/A
$295
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

This event tracks the fluctuation of gasoline costs in a specific U.S. state over a single day. It reflects how fuel pricing can vary based on supply, demand, and local market conditions. The outcome depends on whether the state's average price meets or exceeds certain thresholds.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple threshold conditions for Arkansas's average regular gas price on October 14, 2026, as reported by AAA. Each market corresponds to a distinct price threshold, ranging from $3.9150 to $3.9950. For any given threshold, if the recorded average price is strictly greater than that threshold, the associated market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' All markets share the same observation date and data source, ensuring consistency across evaluations. The structure allows participants to assess the likelihood of the state's gas prices reaching various levels, offering granular insight into anticipated pricing movements.