TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Arkansas gas prices tomorrow
kalshi

Arkansas gas prices tomorrow

Volume:
$1,381

Above 3.9500

 - Kalshi

Above 3.9500 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 3.9500

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$376
N/A
N/A
$376
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9350

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$132
N/A
N/A
$132
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9400

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$32
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9300

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
$32
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9450

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9550

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9950

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$217
N/A
N/A
$213
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.0000

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$214
N/A
N/A
$214
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.0050

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
$213
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9900

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9750

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.0100

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9850

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9800

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9700

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9650

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9600

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

This event tracks the expected fluctuation of gasoline costs in a specific U.S. state over a single day. It uses a trusted data source to verify the actual price level against multiple predefined thresholds. The outcome depends entirely on whether the observed price exceeds any of the specified benchmarks.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the average regular gas price in Arkansas on October 12, 2026, as reported by AAA. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from $3.9300 to $4.0100. If the actual average price is strictly greater than a market's threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The resolution for each market is independent, meaning the outcome of one market does not affect another. The data source and date are consistent across all markets, ensuring uniform verification.