TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the expected fluctuation of gasoline costs in a specific U.S. state over a single day. It reflects how analysts and consumers might anticipate immediate changes in fuel pricing influenced by factors like supply logistics or regional demand spikes. The outcome depends on a single day's pricing data from a trusted source.
All markets resolve based on the average regular gas price in Arkansas on October 31, 2026, as reported by AAA. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from $3.7600 to $3.8400. If the recorded price exceeds a market's specific threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All thresholds are evaluated strictly greater, meaning prices equal to the threshold resolve as No. The resolution depends entirely on the AAA-reported average for that exact date.