TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the expected fluctuation of gasoline costs in a specific U.S. state over a single day. It reflects how analysts and consumers might anticipate immediate changes in fuel pricing influenced by regional supply dynamics, local taxes, or unexpected events. The outcome depends solely on the recorded average price at a specified time and source.
All markets resolve based on the average regular gas price in Arkansas on October 30, 2026, as reported by AAA. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from $3.7700 to $3.8500. If the recorded price exceeds a market’s specific threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All thresholds are evaluated strictly, meaning prices must be greater than—not equal to—the stated value to trigger a Yes outcome. The resolution hinges entirely on a single data point from a single source, with no additional qualifying conditions or adjustments.