TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the expected fluctuation of gasoline costs in Arkansas over a single day, reflecting how fuel pricing can shift rapidly due to supply dynamics, local demand, or broader economic indicators. The outcome depends on whether the state's average price for regular gasoline meets or exceeds specific thresholds at the close of business on the specified date.
All markets resolve based on the average regular gas price in Arkansas on October 29, 2026, as reported by AAA. Each market has a distinct threshold, ranging from $3.7850 to $3.8650. If the actual average price is strictly greater than a market’s specified threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All thresholds are evaluated independently, meaning a single price can cause multiple markets to resolve as Yes or No depending on their individual conditions. The resolution hinges entirely on the precise numerical comparison between the reported price and each market’s predetermined level.