TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the expected fluctuation of gasoline costs in a specific U.S. state over a single day. It reflects how analysts and the public anticipate immediate changes in fuel pricing influenced by factors like supply dynamics, local demand, and broader economic indicators. The outcome depends on whether the state's average price for regular gasoline surpasses certain thresholds.
The event evaluates multiple threshold conditions for Arkansas' average regular gas prices on October 28, 2026, as reported by AAA. Each market corresponds to a distinct price level, resolving to 'Yes' if the recorded average exceeds that specific threshold. The structure allows participants to bet on various potential price outcomes, offering granular predictions across a range of values from $3.7900 to $3.8700. All markets share the same resolution date and data source, ensuring consistency in evaluation. The resolution hinges solely on the exact average price published by AAA for that day, with no additional qualifications or adjustments applied.