TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Arkansas gas prices tomorrow
kalshi

Arkansas gas prices tomorrow

Volume:
$1,171

Above 3.9500

 - Kalshi

Above 3.9500 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 3.9500

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9550

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9450

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.0200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$317
N/A
N/A
$317
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.0150

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$310
N/A
N/A
$310
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.0250

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$280
N/A
N/A
$280
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9900

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
$106
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.0100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
$61
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9800

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9850

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9950

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.0000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9750

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.0050

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9600

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9650

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9700

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 17

Description

This event tracks the expected fluctuation of gasoline costs in a specific U.S. state over a single day. It reflects how analysts and the public anticipate changes in fuel pricing influenced by factors like supply chains, local demand, and broader economic indicators. The outcome depends on whether the state's average price meets or exceeds certain thresholds.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple threshold conditions for Arkansas's average regular gas price on October 10, 2026, as reported by AAA. Each rule specifies a distinct price level, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the actual average price exceeds the corresponding threshold. The thresholds progress incrementally from $3.9450 to $4.0250, creating a series of increasingly stringent conditions. All rules share the same resolution date and data source, ensuring consistency across markets. The outcome for each market is determined solely by whether the observed price crosses its specific threshold, with no interaction or dependency between markets.