TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the expected fluctuation of gasoline costs in a specific U.S. state over a single day. It reflects how analysts and consumers might attempt to gauge immediate fuel price movements based on available data sources. The outcome depends entirely on the verified average price at a set time and location.
All markets resolve based on the average regular gas price in Arkansas on October 26, 2026, as reported by AAA. Each market has a distinct threshold, ranging from $3.8050 to $3.8850. If the recorded average price exceeds a market’s specific threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All thresholds are evaluated strictly, meaning prices must be greater than—not equal to—the stated value to trigger a Yes outcome. The resolution relies solely on the AAA data for that exact date, with no adjustments for inflation, regional variations, or subsequent reporting changes.