TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$172,394,893

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,821,572,886

404,136

Markets across

40,075

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Arkansas gas prices tomorrow
kalshi

Arkansas gas prices tomorrow

Volume:
$23,438

Above 3.8650

 - Kalshi

Above 3.8650 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 3.8650

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,279
N/A
N/A
$2,279
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8550

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,205
N/A
N/A
$1,201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8600

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,020
N/A
N/A
$1,020
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8500

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$230
N/A
N/A
$230
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8450

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$223
N/A
N/A
$223
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8400

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
$203
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8800

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,838
N/A
N/A
$6,828
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.8700

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,494
N/A
N/A
$4,035
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.8850

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,420
N/A
N/A
$2,417
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.8950

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,175
N/A
N/A
$1,175
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.8900

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,109
N/A
N/A
$1,109
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9050

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,103
N/A
N/A
$1,100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$487
N/A
N/A
$487
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9200

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$402
N/A
N/A
$402
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9100

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
$106
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9150

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$103
N/A
N/A
$103
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.8750

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

This event tracks the expected fluctuation of gasoline costs in a specific U.S. state over a single day. It reflects how analysts and the public anticipate changes in fuel pricing influenced by factors like supply chains, local demand, and global oil market trends. The outcome depends on whether the state's average price meets or exceeds certain thresholds set for that day.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple threshold conditions for Arkansas' average regular gas price on October 23, 2026, all sourced from AAA data. Each market specifies a distinct price level, and the event resolves to 'Yes' for any market where the actual average exceeds its corresponding threshold. The structure allows participants to assess varying levels of price increase, with each threshold acting as an independent test against the same measured value. Since all rules share the same measurement date, source, and commodity, the resolution hinges solely on comparing the reported price to each specified level, making the collective outcome a series of binary assessments against incrementally higher targets.