TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the expected fluctuation of gasoline costs in a specific U.S. state over a single day. It reflects how analysts and the public might attempt to forecast short-term changes in consumer prices for fuel. The outcome depends entirely on one day's pricing data from a trusted source.
All markets resolve based on the average regular gas price in Arkansas on October 22, 2026, as reported by AAA. Each market has a unique threshold between $3.8500 and $3.9300. If the actual price exceeds a market's specified threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All thresholds are evaluated strictly, meaning prices must be higher than the stated value to settle as Yes. The resolution hinges solely on the single-day AAA data point.