TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Arkansas gas prices tomorrow
kalshi

Arkansas gas prices tomorrow

Volume:
$31,951

Above 3.9050

 - Kalshi

Above 3.9050 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 3.9050

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,768
N/A
N/A
$9,768
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8900

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,116
N/A
N/A
$4,116
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8950

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,720
N/A
N/A
$1,720
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8800

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,360
N/A
N/A
$1,170
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8850

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,190
N/A
N/A
$1,188
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$227
N/A
N/A
$227
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9100

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
$47
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9600

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,242
N/A
N/A
$1,360
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,112
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9550

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,064
N/A
N/A
$2,064
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9250

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,971
N/A
N/A
$1,970
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9450

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,857
N/A
N/A
$1,782
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9500

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,541
N/A
N/A
$1,541
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9400

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,156
N/A
N/A
$1,156
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9150

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$227
N/A
N/A
$157
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9350

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$184
N/A
N/A
$184
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.9300

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$171
N/A
N/A
$171
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

This event tracks the expected fluctuation of gasoline costs in a specific U.S. state over a single day. It reflects how analysts and the public anticipate changes in fuel pricing influenced by factors such as supply dynamics, local demand, and broader economic indicators. The outcome depends on whether the state's average price meets or exceeds certain thresholds set for that day.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple threshold conditions for Arkansas' average regular gas prices on October 18, 2026, as reported by AAA. Each market specifies a different price threshold, ranging from $3.8800 to $3.9600. For any given threshold, if the recorded average price is strictly greater than that threshold on the specified date, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same resolution date and data source, ensuring consistency across the various price points. The structure allows participants to assess the likelihood of gas prices reaching various levels, providing a granular view of market expectations for that day's pricing outcome.