TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the fluctuation of Arizona's regular gas prices on a specific future date. It provides a snapshot of consumer fuel costs at a precise moment, reflecting potential influences such as supply chain dynamics, local taxes, and broader economic factors. The outcome depends solely on the official AAA-reported average price for that day.
The event resolves based on whether Arizona's average regular gas price, as reported by AAA on October 9, 2026, exceeds any of a series of specified thresholds ranging from $4.6700 to $4.7500. Each market corresponds to a distinct price threshold, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the actual average price strictly surpasses that threshold. The resolution is binary for each market—either meeting or failing to meet the exact threshold determines the outcome. All markets share the same underlying data source and date, ensuring consistency across all thresholds. The structure allows participants to assess the probability of prices reaching various levels, offering granular insight into anticipated price movements.