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Argentina inflation rate MoM for May
kalshi

Argentina inflation rate MoM for May

Volume:
$13,611

Above 2.0%

 - Kalshi

Above 2.0% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 2:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 2.0%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,640
N/A
N/A
$1,816
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,786
N/A
N/A
$2,011
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.2%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,691
N/A
N/A
$1,479
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.8%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,648
N/A
N/A
$785
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.6%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$884
N/A
N/A
$580
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.2%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$429
N/A
N/A
$225
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.6%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$274
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$219
N/A
N/A
$204
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate for May 2026 will exceed 2.0%, with the contract resolving to Yes if the rate surpasses 2.4% according to official data. The leading outcome currently stands at 89.0%. Argentina's inflation trajectory remains a key economic indicator following years of elevated price pressures, and traders will be watching for the May 2026 inflation release around June 18, 2026 to determine final settlement.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the official Argentina month-over-month inflation rate for May 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold: Above 2.0%, Above 2.2%, Above 2.4%, Above 2.6%, Above 2.8%, Above 3.0%, Above 3.2%, Above 3.4%, and Above 3.6%. If the reported inflation rate exceeds a given threshold, that corresponding market resolves Yes. If the inflation rate is at or below a threshold, that market resolves No. Markets are independent; multiple markets can resolve Yes if the inflation rate exceeds multiple thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

The PredictionHero dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Argentina inflation rate month-over-month for May on Kalshi. You can monitor the current probability of the top outcome, historical price movements, and live order flow. The dashboard displays $13,611 in total group volume across all related outcomes, helping you gauge market depth and conviction. Updated continuously, it shows how traders are positioning ahead of the Jun 18, 2026 resolution date, giving you a transparent view of collective market expectations for Argentine inflation dynamics.

The Argentina inflation rate MoM for May market resolves on Jun 18, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official month-over-month inflation figure released by Argentina's statistical authority for May. The outcome hinges on whether the reported rate meets or exceeds the contract threshold, with no discretion or adjustment once the data is published. Traders should monitor the release schedule and any revisions to prior months, as these can influence expectations and volatility leading up to the final announcement.

Key catalysts include Central Bank of Argentina policy decisions, exchange rate movements, and commodity price shocks affecting import costs. Wage negotiations and labor agreements can signal inflation pressures, while energy and fuel price adjustments directly feed into headline inflation. Monthly economic data releases—such as producer prices, retail sales, and credit growth—offer early signals of demand and cost pressures. Political announcements regarding price controls, tariffs, or fiscal policy also move markets. Finally, global factors like Fed policy and emerging-market capital flows influence the peso's stability, a critical driver of Argentine inflation expectations.