TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Financials
Applied Aerospace & Defense IPO Closing Market Cap
polymarket

Applied Aerospace & Defense IPO Closing Market Cap

Volume:
$49,319

$2.75B–$3.25B

 - Polymarket

$2.75B–$3.25B - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 4, 2026

Closed: Jun 3, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$2.75B–$3.25B

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$10,764
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$3.25B–$3.75B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.9¢
N/A
$21,046
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$3.75B–$4.25B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,438
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$2.75B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,908
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$4.75B–$5.25B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,841
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$5.25B+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,591
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$4.25B–$4.75B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,003
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

No IPO before August 2026

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,729
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Intro

This market tracks what Applied Aerospace & Defense's market capitalization will be at the closing price on its first day of trading. Currently on Polymarket, the probability that the company's market cap will fall between $3.75 billion and $4.25 billion stands at 57.0%. The market will resolve based on official company filings and the primary exchange's official closing price. Watch for the company's IPO scheduled for June 3, 2026 (ET), which will determine the final market cap calculation.

Frequently asked questions

The Applied Aerospace & Defense IPO Closing Market Cap dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for the outcome of whether Applied Aerospace & Defense will complete an initial public offering and at what valuation by the resolution date. The dashboard displays current implied probabilities, 24-hour trading volume in $22,282, and a price history chart showing how market sentiment has evolved. Traders use this data to monitor shifting expectations around the company's IPO timing, regulatory approval likelihood, and ultimate market capitalization at close.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-time trader consensus and differ from traditional analyst forecasts, which are typically published quarterly or after major corporate announcements. Analysts may issue price targets and IPO probability estimates based on fundamental research, industry comparables, and management guidance. Prediction markets incorporate this information but also price in market sentiment, recent news flow, and geopolitical factors affecting aerospace and defense. The market odds tend to be more dynamic and forward-looking than static analyst reports, updating continuously as new information emerges.

The Applied Aerospace & Defense IPO Closing Market resolves on Jun 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether Applied Aerospace & Defense has completed an IPO and the closing market capitalization on the first day of public trading. Outcomes are typically structured around specific market cap brackets or binary IPO occurrence. The resolution process relies on official public filings, stock exchange announcements, and verified closing price data from the IPO date. Traders should monitor SEC filings, company announcements, and market news leading up to the deadline.

Key catalysts include company earnings announcements, management commentary on IPO timing, changes in aerospace and defense sector valuations, geopolitical developments affecting defense spending, regulatory approvals or delays, and broader capital market conditions. Competitor IPOs or M&A activity in the sector can shift investor appetite. Federal budget decisions, international tensions, and supply chain updates also influence market sentiment. Major contract wins or losses, leadership changes, and quarterly financial performance will likely trigger significant price movements. Traders should monitor SEC filings, industry news, and macroeconomic indicators closely.