TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
September 1
- Polymarket
September 1 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 2, 2026
Closed: Sep 1, 8:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple Maps displays "Lake America," "Lake of America," or a similar name including both "Lake" and "America" as the label for the body of water currently known as the "Lake Ontario" for the majority of users within the United States by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Changes which appear only in experimental features or subnational regional variants will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If both "Lake America" and "Lake Ontario" are used to label the body of water, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be Apple Maps; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple Maps displays "Lake America," "Lake of America," or a similar name including both "Lake" and "America" as the label for the body of water currently known as the "Lake Ontario" for the majority of users within the United States by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Changes which appear only in experimental features or subnational regional variants will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If both "Lake America" and "Lake Ontario" are used to label the body of water, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be Apple Maps; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Unlike traditional polls, this market reflects the bets of traders who may have different insights or access to information. While polling averages gauge public opinion on related political issues, this market prices in the chance of a specific corporate action — the rebranding of a geographic feature on a digital map. The two can diverge widely, as market participants may react to leaks, corporate strategy signals, or technical possibilities that surveys don’t capture.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. If Apple Maps changes the name of Lake Ontario to Lake America by that date, the market settles accordingly; otherwise, it resolves on the alternate condition. The verification relies on authoritative sources tracking digital map updates.
News about Apple’s mapping strategy shifts, executive statements on brand geography, or geopolitical tensions involving the region could sway this market. Leaks about upcoming iOS updates affecting map labels, analyst reports on corporate branding moves, or even government reactions to potential renaming attempts may cause rapid price changes. Traders will watch tech news closely for any hint of action from Apple.