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Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 21?
polymarket

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 21?

Volume:
$7,028

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 21?

 - Polymarket

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 21? - Polymarket

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 21, 4:16 PM EST

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Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 21?

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,028
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on September 21, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on September 21, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on September 21, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on September 21, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Apple stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down on September 21st. You'll find a price history showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $6,843. The total volume traded on this market is $7,028. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to Apple’s performance. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how participants are forecasting the stock’s direction.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts for Apple. While some analysts predict a positive outlook based on upcoming product releases, this market shows a more nuanced view, incorporating a wider range of potential outcomes. It's important to remember that analyst forecasts are often based on specific models and assumptions, whereas this market represents the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. The difference highlights how prediction markets can offer a unique signal, potentially identifying information not fully captured by conventional analysis.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Apple’s stock will close higher or lower on September 21st. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of each outcome, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that scenario. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and changing sentiment among traders. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds remain responsive to the latest developments affecting Apple.

This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Apple stock on September 21st will be used to determine whether the market settles in favor of ‘Up’ or ‘Down’. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the outcome and their positions in this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 21, 2026. Major announcements from Apple regarding new products, earnings reports, or changes in company leadership would likely have a substantial impact. Broader economic news, such as interest rate decisions or shifts in market sentiment towards technology stocks, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected geopolitical events or industry-specific disruptions could also contribute to price fluctuations. Any news that alters perceptions of Apple’s future performance has the potential to shift the odds in this market.